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ARMA Models for Trading

In this tutorial I am going to share my R&D and trading experience using the well-known from statistics Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA). There is a lot written about these models,...

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Trading at the Close – the Mechanics

When investing strategies are back tested, the prevailing approach is to use daily closing prices both for the signal and for the entry point. This is all well in theory, but implementing such a system...

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Back-testing Rules

Nowadays there are many trading strategies shared online with reproducible, decent, results. Have you asked yourself, if the strategies are so profitable, why the author bother even sharing them, when...

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Parallelized Back Testing

As mentioned earlier, currently I am playing with trading strategies based on Support Vector Machines. At a high level, the approach is quite similar to what I have implemented for my ARMA+GARCH...

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On-Close Trading with LOC & MOC Orders

In a previous post I discussed how to implement in real trading a strategy back-tested on the close (the signal is generated on the close and the trading is performed on the close too). The main tool...

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Simulating On-Close Orders with Interactive Brokers (IB)

Previously (here and here) on this blog, I have demonstrated how to implemented an end-of-day trading strategy in real life. The common problem mentioned is that one cannot possibly get the signal and...

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